Originally Posted by
Deemure
When you are talking about statistics, there are standard deviation tables specifically dealing with small populations. Those predictive numbers are slightly different than for large populations. Your last comment, to me, shows the problem. In statistics there is no such thing as "horrendously unlucky." There are statistics. Either you understand and believe in the math, or you don't. You don't need 10000 events, you don't need 1000. For most statistical verifications (and that is what we are talking about here verifying the 10% drop rate and randomness, you need as few as 67 events. If the results do not reflect the original premise, then you need to do several times the 67 samples to accurately calculate the correct original premise.
Again we are not talking about whether a string or events allows one to predict success or failure on the next raid, we are talking about whether the drop rates are random and whether the drop rate is 10% as premised. The strings of bots and no bots, being outside the statistical models for 10%, indicate that either the rate is not 10%, or that the rate is not random across all levels, cities, professions, or other unknown (at this time) criteria.